To understand the international relations it is useful to consider the world as an anarchical arena in which every State holds full sovereignty and is independent in taking political decisions. Unlike the relations within the State among different political institutions and actors, in the international relations it does not exist a hierarchy of powers nor is there a supreme binding judicial body that may syndicate on the respect of international law or punish the transgressors of it. Let us remember, for instance, that the International Court of Justice can have jurisdiction over a case only if the involved actors agree. In truth, the international relations are the consequence of particularistic and opportunistic considerations oriented toward the augmentation of national prestige, power and welfare.
In this context, the theory of
rational choice plays a key role. This theory, albeit borrowed from economics,
states within the international relations that an actor attempts to achieve the
greatest possible benefit with the lower costs: in other words, it is
convenient to do nothing else but pursue the greater good, avoid the greater
evil, or at least, to settle for the lesser evil or good. Applying the theory
to the theoretical principles of international collaboration, it represents the
model through which international alliances and foreign policies choices are
conceived and developed. The calculation of the costs and benefits of an
offensive or defensive alliance, the right granted to foreign troops to transit
over a land, the conclusion of trade agreements, and any other form of
negotiation wholly rely on realistic and strategic analyzes that see in
international interaction a range of opportunities that can be more or less
profitable.
Now, one of the consequences of an
international order that applies on equal terms the theory of rational choice
is the consolidation of territorial stability following the principles of the
balance of power. Wrought by English policymakers and strategists, the
principle of the balance of power was typically characteristic of the
eighteenth century, and it finally affirmed in the European continent during
the nineteenth century after the Restoration. The balance of power is one of
the key concepts of realist thought and refers to that condition in which
political leaders manage to avoid or suspend the natural propensity to war by
mutually fostering a kind of balance that equilibrates their geopolitical
weight. This would lead to the making of a stable and ordered international system
that could overcome international anarchy.
In
order to achieve the balance of power, there are two main strategies, albeit
complementary, to implement:
1)
Make sure that the power of a stronger political entity, such as an empire, is
reduced in order to rebalance its relevance in favor of lesser political
entities.
2)
Increase the power of the weaker political actor in order to resize the gap of
power towards the other actors of the international system with which it
interacts.
In
practice, these strategies contemplate four different mechanisms aimed at
achieving international balance:
1)
Divide et impera: it consists in avoiding the creation of
excessively strong coalitions, and in pursuing the annihilation of powerful
alliances that either already exist or are being created. The existence of
extremely forceful political poles makes it more demanding to conceive
counter-balancing strategies.
2)
Compensations and territorial partition: this avoids the possibility that a
single actor manages to take possession of an excessive quantity of resources
and lands, and it helps to compensate the disadvantages that affect the weaker
actors of the international system.
3)
Dissuasive strategies: consisting in the implementation of policies liable to deter
other players of the system from falling prey to greed and lust of conquest,
and thus in making choices that can threaten the territorial integrity and
survival of the weakest actors, with the risk of unbalancing and altering the
international system.
4)
Calculated alliances: The aim consists in benefiting from a mechanism that
allows fast shifts of the weights, counterweights and powers within the system.
This mechanism works best when there is a country that can play the role of
balancer for the fact of being in a relatively independent position than other
players. The balancer should also be strong enough to be able to intervene in
the game of alliances, redistributing the political weights through appropriate
choices and in considering mandatory the need of preserving the balance of
power.
In fact, these mechanisms require two different tools to find concrete application: war and diplomacy.
Moreover, the political entities that
are able to implement these strategies are inevitably those who are either already
sufficiently mighty to impose their will on others, or those that, having won a
war or a military campaign, have gained a political superiority over the others
that allows them to dictate their conditions at the negotiations for peace. In
the latter case, the relevance of the winner’s will depends on the importance
and degree of the attained victory. So, as it is true that winners write history,
it is equally true that winners are those that establish a balance of power
that is compatible and, where possible, convergent with their geopolitical
strategies.
Unfortunately, the birth of international stability
through realism does not always follow ethical rules: it often happens that
cynicism plays a decisive role instead.
One of the greatest expressions of the philosophical concept
of cynicism is that named after “reason of State”: this is a statolatric vision that considers
the political power of a country and the supreme interests of the sovereign as
propeller engines for political action and a source of inspiration for
strategies. Although some theories of international relations believe that the
international order relies on idealistic, somewhat naïve, principles, it is
difficult to deny that the international community, now as in the past, is
rather the result of cynical designs aimed at increasing the welfare of the
State (or at least of a group of individuals within the State).
In his pamphlet entitled
"Perpetual Peace. A Philosophical Sketch "(“Zum ewigen Frieden. Ein philosophischer Entwurf”), Immanuel Kant
believed he had found antidotes to international wars exposing them in a
philosophical-political program which had for ultimate goal the establishment
of a global confederation: in the opinion of the great philosopher of Königsberg,
the creation of a worldwide confederation of nations would have forever averted
war. At the end of the essay, under the appendix heading "On the
discrepancy between morality and politics towards perpetual peace", he
lists three political strategies - or, in Kant's words, "sophistical standards".
He believed they were based on a ruthless and Machiavellian reason of state
that did not allow the achievement of a clear and transparent international coexistence,
threatening the occurrence of general peace. The stratagems are the following:
1)
Fac et excusa: It is convenient to
seize the favorable opportunity for an arbitrary taking of possession both of a
right of the State over its own people and of a right over another neighboring
folk. Through a fait accompli, the justification
would occur much easier and violence would be masked with greater happiness
than in the case of looking for pervious convincing reasons and waiting for the
objections of the counterpart.
2)
Si fecisti, nega: It is opportune to
deny the proper blame for all things that happened and occurred, arguing that
the blame is to find in other persons or forces.
Immanuel Kant |
3)
Divide et impera: For Kant, this
principle could have two aspects. The internal aspect within the State occurs
when strategists try to divide the leaders of the people, and bringing them
into conflict with the people in order to gain their own legitimacy to become
rulers. The external aspect within the foreign relations considers the
production of international crises and discords led to the appearance of a
joyful third actor that benefits from the rivals’ divisions and can carry
forward the gradual subjugation of other States under the guise of an assistance
to the weakest.
For Kant, the whole reason of state can be summed up in the will of the great powers that derives by the increasing of its power regardless of the manner through which this increase was achieved.
In truth, there is a peculiar discipline
of international relations influenced by the rational choice theory and by a
realistic background inspired to the reason of state: this the so-called
science of alliances.
If we consider the foreign policy of
the main European powers during the eighteenth century, we may theorize the
existence of four types of alliances based on the following valuation
parameters: symmetry / asymmetry and homogeneity / heterogeneity of the
covenant.
Usually, it is a custom to mark the
differences between alliances basing them on different parameters: duration
(permanent, temporary, occasional, etc.); effectiveness (operational,
ineffective); goals in relation to third States (offensive, defensive, or both
species together); nature of the casus
foederis; degree of military supply; interests at stake; geopolitical
position of the members and rivals (think of the "belt of
satellites", the "buffer zone", the “chessboard”, the
"independent aggregation" of small States, the ''balance of alignment",
the “stalemate” between major powers, etc.); the equal or unequal commitment of
the parties; the number of the parties; the distribution of benefits between
them, etc.
An alliance is symmetric when it is
composed of two or more States that are more or less strategically equal, and
this equality produces profitable exchanges of benefits for these
interdependent parts. Contrariwise, an alliance is asymmetrical when the parties
manifest disequilibrium of power, and this inequality tends to lead the
stronger components to dominate the weaker links of the alliance. The alliances
between the great powers and those between small powers belong to the category
of alliances symmetrical, whereas those between large and small powers to that
of the asymmetric: thus, it plays a crucial role identifying small and great
powers and their split. Power relations between allies provide important
indications: if these relations are equal, the allies have relations of
exchange; if they are unequal, they establish a relationship of domination on
the one hand and dependence on the other. Therefore, alliances are homogeneous
if the contracting States obey to converging constraints or respond to mutually
compatible opportunities, and this context predisposes States to work together
in a way that promises to be mutually beneficial. On the contrary, alliances
are heterogeneous if States obey to divergent constraints or respond to
opportunities mutually contradictory, and this discourages a close cooperation
because threatens at least one of the allies to be counterproductive or at
least disadvantageous. Hence, in homogenous alliances, States find themselves
in the situation in which if the ally decides to retreat this would be harmful
for both (A supports B because if it would not it be damaged). Instead, in
heterogeneous alliances, this context leads States to consider their support to
an ally as the factor of their possible damage (A does not support B because if
it did it would be damaged).
There are four types of alliance
categories:
1) Aggregation
alliance: it is a symmetric and homogenous alliance that conceives the
prevalence of a "common cause" between allies whose relations of
power are roughly equal. It requires a double balance: equal dependent
relations and a set of external conditions that are pointing in the same
direction, whether defensive or offensive. On the one hand, the symmetry makes
all allies extremely sensitive to the possibility of an excessive strengthening
of others, it implies a bargaining process conducted by similar positions of
power and implies that the abandonment of others would lead to serious danger.
On the other hand, homogeneity dilutes the concern of excessive strengthening
of one part, rising the opposite danger that the ally will weaken too much. Ultimately,
within the alliance, allies work together under the conditions fixed by mutual
agreement. Historically alliance aggregation was that contracted by Britain and
Prussia in 1756-62, during the Seven Years' War through which the two powers
fought together.
2) Warranty
alliance: it is an asymmetric and homogeneous alliance that provides for the
existence of a "common cause" that joins the allies, whose balance of
power, however, are unbalanced in favor of one of them. The asymmetry implies
that the balance of power and the strategic importance of the contracting
parties is unequal and that is tilted in favor of one of them. The homogeneity
means that the negotiations between the parties will take place in accommodative
condition in the interests of the weaker party: this is the meaning of the "warranty"
offered by the stronger, even if the content of the agreements reflects
primarily the preferences of the latter. In essence, then, here the allies work
together under the conditions set by one of them. Historically it is an example
of the alliance signed between Britain and the United Provinces of the
Netherlands 1702-56, in which, of course, the condition of supremacy belonged
to the first power.
Frederick the Great of Prussia |
3) Stalemate
alliance: it is a symmetric and heterogeneous alliance made up of allies that
bear a similar strategic power, and the "common cause" coexists with
a series of "special causes" that are considered as important as the
first. The symmetry means that no one can move freely without the support or
consent of others, but by virtue of heterogeneity, such consent will be given hardly,
except in rare cases, and due to tough bargaining. The characteristic feature
of this type of alliance is therefore a mutual impediment resulting from a
coercive negotiation process from positions of strength substantially similar;
here the allies must inevitably coexist, but are often at odds on key issues
and tend to drag each other in different directions. Therefore, despite the
apparent agreement, within the alliance allies will inhibit each other, but
they are somehow “allied rivals”, with divergent interests. A historical
example may be the alliance between France and Austria of 1756-85, two powers
historically opponents who decide to join the efforts to contain the power of
new States on the rise, firstly the Kingdom of Prussia.
4) Hegemon
alliance: it is an asymmetric and heterogeneous alliance made by States that,
at the same time, are united by a "common cause" and separated by
some "special causes", but here the allies are, unlike the stalemate
alliance, behold an unequal power. Heterogeneity also introduces here a coercive
element in negotiations between allies but the asymmetry causes that the
strategic relevance of an ally ally is not equal to that of another. It follows
that in this context, an ally shapes the decisions of another ally, who follows
him reluctantly. One of the historical examples that represents this case is
the alliance between Britain and France in 1716-31, when France despite being
potentially even stronger, in terms of resources, than England, finds herself,
for a number of reasons, in a position of dependence towards the ally, pushing
her to conform to her wishes, although from a subordinate position.
References:
C. Simon-Belli, Teorie delle relazioni internazionali, Perugia, Guerra Edizioni, 2002.
I. Kant, Per la Pace Perpetua, Roma, Editori Riuniti, 2005.
M. Cesa, Alleati ma rivali. Teoria delle alleanze e politica estera settecentesca, Bologna, Il Mulino, 2007.
References:
C. Simon-Belli, Teorie delle relazioni internazionali, Perugia, Guerra Edizioni, 2002.
I. Kant, Per la Pace Perpetua, Roma, Editori Riuniti, 2005.
M. Cesa, Alleati ma rivali. Teoria delle alleanze e politica estera settecentesca, Bologna, Il Mulino, 2007.
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